Draw One Circle, Double Your Impact
Use the circle-of-competence method to focus energy and win promotions faster.
I fell flat twice.
Four years ago, I launched my first blog. I was sure it would set me free. But it got zero clicks and replies, and it shattered my ego. At the time, I blamed the algorithm. But I didn’t know what I was doing.
This January, I was confident. My newsletter was taking off, with more than 3K subscribers, and I found a job I loved as a web developer. I invested all my time in those two passions, and I was ready for the upgrade. But it never showed up.
My efforts only met silence, but I finally saw the pattern. I was betting outside of my circle of competence, and my skills never improved!
So, I drew a circle. I cut through the noise and drilled down to the core skills of becoming a better writer and web developer. Today, I doubled my paid subscribers and had some sponsors. I also became a better developer — I work with a new client, and my managers respect me more.
I had to put in the effort. I had to draw my circle of competence and focus on that. But it worked. So, let me show you how to draw your circle before the next flop gets to you.
The Two Career Circles
Is success about talent or knowing when talent ends? I tried to answer that question many times, but the edges were very blurry.
Some have great talent and will start with an advantage. But talent alone makes you weak. It allows you to think you have more time than others. And they will catch up fast.
Once talent’s gone, two things will define your career:
The circle of competence is the set of skills you can prove on demand.
The circle of incompetence is every skill you haven’t mastered yet.
When your circle of competence aligns with your projects, you will succeed. But if they misalign, you will have a hard time getting ahead. And that’s what was happening with my projects.
I was trying to become a writer, but I didn’t know how to write a good copy. I was trying to become a senior developer, but I didn’t have the set of skills that would allow me to do that. My circle of competence never aligned with my project, and that caused many failures on my path.
But why did I step outside of my circle of confidence? And why you might do it too?
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Why do we step outside of the circle?
Stepping out of our circle of competence is a common behavior. We can use the Dunning-Kruger curve to explain why this happens.
Psychologists David Dunning and Justing Kruger found that people who scored in the bottom quarter on tests of logic, grammar, and humor rated themselves far above average. Their incompetence stole the skills and self-awareness they needed to notice the gap.
But the curve bends the other way, too. Top performers often under-rate themselves. They assume everyone else sees the game as clearly as they do. The result is a confidence seesaw — beginners are too confident, experts second-guess, and both groups score beyond the edge.
Work culture also magnifies the bias.
Promotions reward noise and visibility, not quiet and mastery. Social feeds flash overnight wins instead of the ten-year grinds. And a little praise from your boss can make you feel more skilled, even if you’re not.
Unless you build a habit of brutal feedback, the curve keeps tricking you. It whispers that you’re ready for a leap you haven’t trained for yet. And you jump before the ground appears.
You need to be aware of what you control. But what do you control?
The Circle of Competence
You can’t control anything outside of your circle of competence — deal with it. But most times, you don’t even know what sits inside your circle of competence. So, let’s make an exercise to discover it.
Grab a blank page or open a whiteboard. Then, draw two circles, one inside the other.
The Inner Loop — Your Circle of Competence
Skills you can prove — the code you write or the copy that you sell (for example).
Effort you control — the hours you block and the habits you track.
The attitude you choose — the way you handle issues and feedback.
The Outer Loop — Your Circle of Incompetence
Market shifts — new frameworks or platforms that arise.
People’s opinion — who likes whom this week.
New tempting trends — AI tools, viral design style, etc.
Sometimes, splitting between those two circles can be difficult. It’s not always that simple. So, put every item you can’t label inside a box. If you cannot test or measure it next week, push it to the outer loop. Otherwise, you have control over it. So, you can pull it in the circle of competence.
Exercise Recap
List every recurring task for the past month.
Drop each task into the inner or outer circle.
Write tasks in a separate box if you can’t figure out where they belong.
Give yourself a week to track those uncertain tasks. If you can influence them, they are in your circle of competence.
Now, you can ignore everything outside of your circle of competence and use the free hours on your calendar for your deliberate practice inside the inner loop.
But how do I grow? You might ask. If you only focus on your circle of competence, you will never experiment with new trends. And you might be right. So, let’s see how you can expand the edge.
How to Expand the Edge (Safely)
The whole point of the circles of competence and incompetence is to make you grow safely, not keep you stale.
Dreaming is a good thing. We all have our dreams and aspirations. But many times, we project those dreams into our reality too fast when we’re not ready. And what happens then? Reality crushes both you and your dreams.
We want to avoid that. So, we must take a safer approach. First, we understand what is in our circle of competence and master that. Then, we can expand our edges and incorporate some of the skills we couldn’t control before. Here’s how you can do it with the skill-building playbook.
The Skill-Building Playbook
Picture yourself in the middle of a board with many skills around you. Some of them will be closer, while others will be far away. Some will fall into your circle of competence, while others will stay out of it.
As you master each skill, your circle of competence will expand in that direction, including other abilities you could master. So, the only way to reach rare skills is to focus in one direction.
However, beware of practice without feedback. You might solidify mistakes if you don’t test what you’ve learned.
Playbook Rules
The 5-Hour Rule: Master skills in your circle of competence for 5 hours a week, one each day.
The Adjacent-Skill Rule: Pick new skills to master on the edge of your circle of competence.
The Outreachables Rule: Don’t lose time on skills that are across the board in your current circle of incompetence.
The Planning Rule: Instead, plan your path to get there. Research where you should expand your mastery to reach those skills.
Planning your path is a skill in itself. And as you master it, you can make mistakes and overestimate your mastery. So, how do you deal with that?
How to Spot the Cliffs
We are eager for new promotions. We want fast success. We think we can handle it. But sometimes, you might be too good at marketing yourself. Sometimes, you will get promotions and fall into your circle of incompetence. Those experiences can make you grow, but they can also break you.
I had a colleague who was so confident I thought we knew everything. And he got that promotion — he became one of my managers. But he wasn’t ready. Every day, he would call me and another guy, asking us to explain things he had known the day before. And it was exhausting — for us, but mostly for him.
A few months later, we missed two releases. Our client wanted a management change, so he got fired.
According to the Peter Principle, people in an organization will get promotions until they are no longer qualified (a.k.a, they reach their circle of incompetence). So, when you get a promotion, you should aim at two things:
having the required skills already
or for those new skills to be on the edge of your circle of competence.
You want the growth to happen, but it shouldn’t crush you. So, if you’re not sure, you better not take that opportunity. It will come back to you next year if you deserve it. And if it won’t, it means you weren’t as ready as your boss thought.
Early Warning Signs List
Here’s a list of warning signs you're not ready for the next step.
Constant context-switching — ten tabs, zero flow.
Rising error count.
You skim docs you once devoured.
Your calendar fills with work you can’t explain in one sentence.
If two or more flash red, you’re near the edge.
The Challenge of The Week
My first blog hit zero clicks. My first experience as a team leader didn't get me a promotion. But I didn’t give up.
Both flops came from swinging outside my circle of competence. And once I drew the line, everything shifted. Paid subscribers climbed. My bosses see my value more. And I am surrounded by positive vibes.
So, guard your inner circle and ignore the noise. Expand your edges with deliberate practice and constant feedback, one step at a time. Do that, and each leap will land on solid ground — no more silent launches or stalled promotions.
Draw your circles of competence and incompetence. Put every task you don’t know how to rank in a separate box and test it for the next week. Then, you can start working on skills that make you grow and rise.
Before You Go
Did this piece help you draw your circle? Send it to a friend who keeps saying yes to the wrong projects — and reply to tell me which task you cut this week.
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Sharpen your edge, and watch the wins stack up.
— Cosmin